Plane Crashes
One of the major areas of concern is the plane crash. For the sake of argument, let’s assume that the people in the plane had to end up on this very specific island. It’s their destiny, as Locke would say. In order for that to happen here is what would be required:
1. Round up everyone from around the world that is supposed to end up on the plane and get them on a single flight
2. Knock out the planes communication to the ground after so many hours of flight
3. Know that the pilots would turn around at exactly the right moment, changing course to a flight path that leads to the island
4. Hit a pocket a turbulance that is so severe that it breaks the plane into thirds
5. All three pieces of the plane must land on the island (which appears, although we don’t know for sure) to be 5-10 miles wide
6. 50+ people must survive a crash where the plane breaks up at over 30,000ft
7. Jack survives even though he wakes up laying on his back in the middle of a field - no seat or anything else to break the fall
8. Remarkably, the survivors by and large survive the crash with very little injury (no one was permanently disabled or lost limbs or suffered any back injuries)
What are the odds of all that happening?
Throw in the fact that over the past 30 years there is not 1 single example of anyone surviving a commercial airplane crash where the plane broke up at such altitudes. This link is a database of every commercial crash since 1920. You will find that planes breaking up in the air does happen. Surviving the breakup does not. Plane Crash Database
So, what really happened? Why did all of the passengers believe they were in a crash? They all remember the same thing (kind of - another topic for another day). One things for sure - if all these people needed to be on this island they sure picked the hard way to make it happen.
